Axon Shield

Certificate Management ROI Calculator

Part of the Certificate Management Cost Guide - Calculate your organization's total cost of ownership (TCO) for manual certificate management and automation ROI.

This interactive calculator helps you quantify:

  • Current annual costs of manual certificate management
  • Hidden costs from opportunity loss and shadow IT
  • Annual outage risk based on your certificate volume
  • 3-year ROI from certificate automation
  • Payback period for automation investment

Enter your organization's data below to generate a customized cost analysis.

Your Organization Profile

Enter your data below to generate a customized cost analysis

Certificate Infrastructure

Average enterprise: 5,000 certificates
%
41% of organizations track manually
engineers
Includes security, IT, and engineering staff
Typical range: $120K-$180K including benefits, overhead

Change Management & Time Costs

How much time an engineer loses when doing a random task
Select your organization's change management approach

Incident History

Industry average: 3 outages per 24 months
Industry average: 3.79 hours
Annual revenue ÷ 8,760 hours (or estimate downtime impact)
Set to 0 to use default estimate (8 certs / application)

Compliance Requirements

How This Calculator Works

Calculation Methodology

Direct Labor Costs:

  • Based on manual certificate renewals
  • Assumes 2 hours per certificate for simple renewals
  • Uses your fully-loaded engineer cost
  • Industry data: Mid-sized deployments consume 120 hours annually

Engineering Opportunity Costs:

  • Based on ActiveState research: 20% of team capacity consumed
  • Calculates FTE equivalent lost to reactive security work
  • Represents innovation and strategic initiatives not pursued

Shadow IT Risk:

  • Assumes 65% of applications are unsanctioned
  • Estimates 30% of unsanctioned apps use certificates
  • 0.1% annual failure rate (conservative)
  • $11.1M average outage cost

Outage Risk:

  • Based on your historical outage frequency
  • Revenue loss calculated from downtime × hourly revenue
  • Recovery cost: 42 person-hours average per incident

Compliance Overhead:

  • $50K average per framework annually
  • Covers manual evidence collection, audit preparation, ongoing monitoring

Automation Costs:

  • Implementation scaled by certificate count
  • Industry range: $200K-$500K one-time
  • Annual operating: $50K-$150K based on scale
  • Forrester TEI data: 312% ROI over 3 years

What's Included vs. Excluded

Included in calculations

  • • Direct labor for manual renewals
  • • Engineering opportunity costs
  • • Shadow IT expected costs
  • • Actual outage costs from your history
  • • Compliance framework overhead

Not included (would increase costs further)

  • • Compliance failure penalties ($14.4M average)
  • • Major outage costs beyond your history ($11.1M average)
  • • Tool sprawl from multiple overlapping platforms
  • • Knowledge loss from employee turnover
  • • Customer churn from reliability issues

This calculator provides conservative estimates - actual costs often higher.

Next Steps Based on Your Results

If Your 3-Year Savings > $1M

Immediate action recommended:

  • Certificate automation should be top infrastructure priority
  • ROI justifies executive investment approval
  • Payback period likely under 12 months
  • Risk of major outage or compliance failure is high

If Your 3-Year Savings = $500K-$1M

Strong business case exists:

  • Automation ROI is proven
  • Risk mitigation value significant
  • Operational efficiency gains substantial

If Your 3-Year Savings < $500K

Automation still valuable, but may prioritize:

  • Focus on highest-risk certificates first (customer-facing, payment processing)
  • Implement monitoring and alerting as first step
  • Consider cloud-native certificate management (AWS ACM, Azure Key Vault)
  • Gradual migration path

References

  1. Ponemon Institute. (2019, February). The impact of unsecured digital identities.
  2. Keyfactor & Ponemon Institute. (2023, March 21). 2023 State of Machine Identity Management Report.
  3. ActiveState. (2025, March 6). The 2025 State of Vulnerability Management & Remediation Report.
  4. BetterCloud. (2022, November 16). 2023 State of SaaSOps.
  5. Ponemon Institute. (2022, March). Certificate lifecycle management in global organizations.
  6. Forrester Consulting. (2024, August). TEI of Sectigo Certificate Manager.
  7. IBM Security. (2023). Cost of a Data Breach Report 2023.